Tag: Nuclear program of Iran

Yeah sure, that was a great idea…

For those that still doubt the deal between the Obama administration and Iran was anything but disatrous for the world and beneficial to one of the planet’s most dangerous regimes, just pay attention to what Khameini had to say about it:

Iran’s top leader on Wednesday said missiles were key to the Islamic Republic’s future, offering support to the hardline Revolutionary Guards that have drawn criticism from the West for testing ballistic missiles.

Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei supported last year’s nuclear deal with world powers but has since called for Iran to avoid further rapprochement with the United States and its allies, and maintain its economic and military strength.

“Those who say the future is in negotiations, not in missiles, are either ignorant or traitors,” Khamenei, who has the final say on all matters of state, was quoted as saying by his website.

“If the Islamic Republic seeks negotiations but has no defensive power, it would have to back down against threats from any weak country.”

His comments may have been directed at former president Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani, the de facto leader of a more moderate political alliance, who last week tweeted “the future is in dialogue, not missiles”.

Some context. Iran is by some accounts the world’s most prolific terror enabler, and its leadership is hell bent on killing Jews and destroying Israel and The Great Satan (that is the US for some of you people that believe the bullshit about the bad guy being the US) to push their messianic end of world agenda. To do so they have decided, like North Korea, that the only thing that will give them protection and power to pursue their agenda is the ability to not just threaten nuclear destruction in the case of the Norks, but to be able to carry this out. Only a fool doubt’s Iran’s promise to rain death on its enemies.

Too many people chose to disregard and instead try to appease Hitler when he was very clear about what his end goal was, and while one can make the argument that not every tinpot dictatorship is on the way to a similar roadmap, Iran’s leader has been adamant and active in working towards their agenda. Just remember that every Arab state was fine living with a nuclear armed Israel and never bothered with their own need for a nuclear deterrent or offensive capability. Most, like the bulk of the European nations and Korea and Japan, accepted assurances from the US and whatever Atlantic or Pacific alliance existed that they would be protected and treated as part of whatever deterrent capability was available. Along comes Iran (which is not Arab) and gets its bomb going, only to be appeased by the Obama administration which has also gone to great extremes to piss on every US ally’s leg and tell them it was just warm rain, and now we have every single one of these Arab states suddenly telling the the world they are going to get their own bomb.

The great legacy of the Obama administration, other than to make GWB look like a genius president and a top foreign policy administration, will be the destabilization and nuclearization of the Middle East, very likely to be followed by a nuclear global conflict. But hey, like with everything the collectivist idiots believe in and do, what we will be told we should focus on to determine if they were successful and did good, is that they meant well. With people ruled by feelings and emotions and so focused on social justice, whatever that nonsense is presented to mean to the rest of us, results don’t matter. After all, they firmly believe that they can change not just the laws of nature and economics, but that what counts is that they meant well.

As I predicted Obama made the impossible possible and managed to make what amounted to at most a mediocre president across the board look like a fucking genius and statesman. Be honest. Don’t you miss the cowboy by now? I know most of the world does, even if they won’t admit it out of spite. We deserve the disaster headed our way after the left destroyed the very system that brought the west prosperity and peace in the name of their new government backed collectivist religion.

Enjoy!

This should come as a surprise only to people that lack a connection with reality

Those of us that realize that you can’t strike a bargain with the devil and pointed that out as long ago as when Boosh tried to do the same, making the point that any attempt to bargain was futile, are not surprised to find out that Team Obama is being duped and not admitting they are being duped. At least one could believe that if the Booshies figured Iran was duping them, they would lay down the smack. When it comes to Obama however, it almost feels like this administration has done everything to convince Iran to actually build that nuke and have the capability to deliver it (definitely to Israel) while telling us they have put a halt to the program.

Iran is continuing to develop missiles capable of delivering nuclear weapons despite an interim agreement on its nuclear programs, according to a Pentagon report.

“Although Iran has paused progress in some areas of its nuclear program and fulfilled its obligations under the Joint Plan of Action (JPOA), it continues to develop technological capabilities that also could be applicable to nuclear weapons, including ballistic missile development,” a one-page unclassified summary of the report says.

A copy of the report was obtained by the Washington Free Beacon.

The report was due to Congress in January but was not sent to the Armed Services Committee as required by law until this month. Analysts said the delay appeared designed to avoid upsetting Tehran and the nuclear talks.

The State Department sought to challenge International Atomic Energy Agency reports on the increase in Iranian nuclear material, despite President Obama’s claim that the nuclear agreement had halted Iran’s nuclear program.

State Department spokeswoman Marie Harf said this week that the increase in nuclear production was expected and that the amount has increased and decreased.

Yeah, sure. It was expected. We are being played by Iran and the WH. When the shit hits the fan, don’t be surprised. Iran is getting all its ducks in a row and will race to create that bomb while the Obama administration fiddles. I hope like what they did back in 1987 to Saddam’s nuclear program that the world will once again end up beholden to Israel when they end Iran’s program as well by any means necessary. The alternative, despite what the morons playing foreign policy experts tell us, is going to be far worse.

Do We Want Another War?

A couple of months ago, the Obama Administration and the P5+1 negotiators worked out a temporary deal with Iran on nuclear weapons. About a week ago, the first date was set — January 20 — for Iran to begin scaling down their program.

Congress is now working on a plan to scuttle this deal. Their bill, which is apparently one vote short of being veto-proof, would impose new sanctions on Iran, effectively ending the agreement. As a result, Iran would not get rid of enriched uranium; they would not dismantle their enrichment equipment and they would be free to start up new centrifuges. Of course, they might not do those things anyway. But they will definitely not do them in the face of new sanctions.

As shaky as the Kerry deal is, I think it should be allowed to proceed. Goldberg:

For years, Iran hawks have argued that only punishing sanctions, combined with the threat of military force, would bring Tehran to the nuclear negotiating table. Finally, Iran is at the table. And for reasons that are alternately inexplicable, presumptuous and bellicose, Iran hawks have decided that now is the moment to slap additional sanctions on the Iranian regime.

The bill before the U.S. Senate, which has 59 co-sponsors at last count, will not achieve the denuclearization of Iran. It will not lead to the defunding of Hezbollah by Iran or to the withdrawal of Iranian support for Syrian president Bashar al-Assad. What it could do is move the U.S. closer to war with Iran and, crucially, make Iran appear — even to many of the U.S.’s allies — to be the victim of American intransigence, even aggression. It would be quite an achievement to allow Iran, the world’s foremost state sponsor of terrorism, to play the role of injured party in this drama. But the Senate is poised to do just that.

I write this as someone with hawkish views about the Iranian nuclear program. Iran is ruled by despots who endorse and fund the murder of innocent people; oppress women, gays and religious minorities in the most terrible ways; and threaten to exterminate a member-state of the United Nations. Some of the “moderates” in the regime are moderate only in comparison to Holocaust-deniers. The regime in Tehran cannot be allowed to cross the nuclear threshold: Israel’s existence is at stake, as is the security of the U.S.’s Sunni Arab friends across the Middle East. The U.S.’s international standing would also be imperiled by a nuclear Iran.

But, at least in the short term, negotiations remain the best way to stop Iran from crossing the nuclear threshold. And U.S. President Barack Obama cannot be hamstrung in discussions by a group of senators who will pay no price for causing the collapse of negotiations between Iran and the P5 + 1, the five permanent members of the security council, plus Germany. “You have a large group of senators who are completely discounting the views of the administration, the actual negotiators, the rest of the P5 + 1, the intelligence community and almost every Iran analyst on earth,” said Colin Kahl, who, as a deputy assistant secretary of defense for the Middle East during Obama’s first term, was responsible for preparing all of the options that the President says are still on the table.

I am dubious that a long-term deal can be worked out or that Iran will comply with the current deal. But I do know that our position for containing Iran will be much stronger if they show themselves to be the unreasonable ones. And, even if I opposed the deal, I do not see the value in imposing new sanctions on Iran at this stage. What exactly is the goal of that? To make them … negotiate more? Is “thank you for coming to the table, here’s more sanctions” going to change things for the better?

Or is the point to push us toward a war?

I am finding Congress’ move to effectively undermine the deal to be alarming. It reflect a neocon mentality that has thoroughly infested both Right and Left; a belief that the use of force is the only acceptable outcome of a foreign policy debate. There is a large block of Congressmen — in both parties — to whom war with Iran is not the means; it’s the end. The have claimed that they wanted Iran to deal. But now that Iran is dealing, they want to scuttle the agreement. Listening to them, it sounds like their fear isn’t that the deal won’t work; their fear is that it will.

It’s not even clear that a war can stop Iran’s nuclear ambitions. They have spread their facilities out, buried others and it’s not clear that anything short of occupying a Russia-backed country twice the size of Iraq would accomplish anything. What we would probably be talking about is some bombings, followed by a long drawn-out conflict over traffic in the Gulf with likely massive spikes in oil prices as Iran uses terrorism and small military attacks to effectively bottleneck a critical fraction of the world’s oil supply.

That’s a big price to pay for some chest thumping.

Conor finds an eerie parallel to the Iraq War, reminding us that many of the same neoconservative hawks trying to scuttle the Iran deal behaved the same way in the run-up to Iraq. The neocons ignored any and all criticisms of their Iraq strategy, deriding their opponents as America-haters and naive peacenicks while portraying themselves as “the reality-based community”. Wanting to contain Iraq was a sign that you were a naive egghead who didn’t really know how the world worked. Serious adults understood that invading Iraq and occupying it was the only realistic course of action (read some of the pre-war boasts Conor links and weep at the hubris).

The American right has not undertaken a rational analysis of Iran policy and concluded that sanctions and the increased possibility of war is the most prudent course. Rather, a small faction of neoconservative ideologues believes, against all evidence, that a strike on Iran is desirable, and they’ve managed to win allies not by winning arguments on the merits but by exploiting right-wing foreign-policy heuristics. Conservatives “know” that President Obama is an Israel-hating, Kenyan anti-colonialist dove, and that liberals are naive pacifists, so there is no need to engage the critiques of Iran hawkishness on the merits. If liberals are for diplomacy in this case, it cannot be that there is a strong rational case to support such efforts. It must be because naive liberals always want to talk things out with our enemies. And these conservatives “know” that talking with Iran will do no good, not because they’ve studied the subject, but because their heuristics tell them so.

Meanwhile, most though not all Democratic enablers of this nonsense (some Democrats just are hawks) see standing with the neoconservative ideologues as a political win, both because it aligns them with powerful AIPAC lobbyists and because it burnishes their credentials as “serious” foreign-policy thinkers, inoculating them against the caricature of naive, dovish liberals. (American politics is often about overcoming entrenched narrative disadvantages.) This anti-substantive approach to Iran is extremely reckless and potentially catastrophic. America’s legislators and its movement conservatives would realize as much if they stopped making decisions based on heuristic shortcuts about Obama, liberals, and diplomacy, and started looking at hard-headed analysis that lays out likely consequences of war with Iran. There is, in fact, no shortage of it.

In retrospect, the danger signs for our Iraq adventure were obvious. There wasn’t a lot of discussion of practical strategy; there was almost no realistic approach to the status of post-war Iraq; concerns about internecine fighting were tamped down; it was never really argued how war with Iraq would bring down Al-Qaeda. No, we were told that the Iraq war planners were serious men who were taking the problems seriously and advocating a serious course of action that would seriously turn Iraq into a democracy. They were vindicated, for a while, because the American military is the most capable fighting machine in history and was filled with people who would do their best, would pay any price, would go back into the lion’s den a dozen times to try to make it work. But here we are, trillions of dollars poorer with thousands of our best dead and tens of thousands more injured and Iraq trying to keep parts of their country from falling to Al-Qaeda. It is my opinion that the big mistakes on Iraq were made before any shots were fired. We didn’t plan for a long war and we didn’t plan for a long war because the neocons insisted that they were serious “reality-based” men who knew what they were doing and only a naive squish would question them.

The rumblings on Iran eerily remind me of the rumblings on Iraq. There is little concern with the practical effects and the potential for a much wider conflict. No, inside-the-beltway neocons are make condescending hubristic statements about how there is only one way to solve this and only one realistic approach and we should just let Israel do what they want and drag us into a massive regional conflict. When concerns are raised, they shake their heads, roll their eyes, tut-tut and make condescending statements about the naiveté of those who think we should think out a war before we start one.

We don’t need another Iraq. We don’t need the same hubristic fools who claimed that we’d turn Iraq into a peaceful Western democracy assuring us that the Iran government will fall if we attack it (governments almost never collapse as a result of outside attack; outside attacks usually rally people behind their government. If we bomb Iran, the people won’t blame the Mullahs).

Our strategy of containment has managed to keep Iran “six months away” from a nuclear weapon for 15 years. The current deal is likely to implode but it’s a small ray of hope that there is a way out of this that will not leave thousands of Iranians, American, Iraqis, Saudis and Israelis on the floor. We should allow that, however unlikely it is, to proceed.

Having Obama and Kerry leading out foreign policy is bad. But having 60 chest-thumping Senators leading it would be even worse. Let this play out.

An Iran Deal

This is breaking now so updates as events warrant. We appear to have struck a deal with Iran. The agreement apparently includes a halt to their nuclear program: no enrichment past 5%, no new centrifuges, no new enrichment facilities, full inspections and getting rid of any 20% enriched uranium. They will be allowed to continue to enrich uranium to low levels (3.5%) consistent with nuclear reactors, can keep their current centrifuges and the sanction will be eased (maybe; not clear at this point). This is preparing for a permanent deal in the next six months.

Expect Israel and the GOP to have a fit, whether the deal is a good one or not. I want to see more information before I judge.

The Iran Deal Falls Through

Over the last week, news reports emerged of a pending deal with Iran on nuclear weapons. In return for some limited sanction relief, the Iranians would have frozen their weapons program with a permanent deal to follow. It might have worked; it probably wouldn’t have. But at least the beginnings of a long-term deal were there.

I’m on record as saying a nuclear Iran is almost inevitable, no matter who is in charge. Even if the Mullahs were toppled and the most pro-Western government imaginable were put in place, Iran would still be surrounded by nuclear powers and they would continue to pursue a nuclear capability. All we can do is delay that moment. We have so far pushed that date back for a decade — Iran has been “X months away” from a nuke since the early 2000’s. This deal would have bought six more months and a “permanent” deal with some teeth might have pushed that date back another decade or more. I realize everyone thinks we should use a military strike to solve the Iran nuclear issue but Iran has learned the lessons of their neighbors and dispersed their program as much as possible. Unless you are prepared to invade and occupy a nation of 80 million people indefinitely, a military strike is a waste of time, money and lives.

The Israelis balked but the Israelis would always balk and the Israelis are actually part of the problem here since Iran has cited the expansion of West Bank settlements as one of their issues. What scotched this deal, oddly enough, was France taking a hard line and refusing to sign on. Whether this was a good or bad thing, I leave up to you. Here is the case that the proposed deal was a bad one. The case that the deal was a good one is that Iran will continue to try to enrich uranium past 20% and to get the Arak reactor online, things they would not have done with a deal.

Ordinarily, this would just be normal diplomacy. Deals fall through all the time. The only interesting part would be that we are moving toward less hostile relations with Iran (a direction we should have moved toward on 9/12 when the Iranians had a vigil for the victims of 9/11 while the Palestinians danced in the streets and the Saudis had “who us?” looks on their faces). But the Obama Administration went public with this deal in a big way before it was signed, trying to pressure all the parties into agreeing and hoping to capitalize on Syria beginning to destroy their WMD arsenal. You could almost hear Obama saying that he had headed off not one but two WMD crises (even though he really hadn’t).

Now their over-eagerness has left egg on their faces yet again. France, Israel, Iran and the gulf states are just as annoyed as if we’d actually made a deal, but no deal actually exists. Iran continues to advance their nuclear agenda and we look like fools.

Remind me again how the Obama Administration was going to be so much better that the Bush team?

Rock, Rock, Rock Iran

I don’t want to find out if this story isn’t true. Because if it is true, whoever thought of it deserves a medal for sheer awesomeness:

A computer malware has allegedly attacked computer systems in Iran forcing them to play AC/DC’s Thunderstruck at full volume in the middle of the night, according to a computer security researcher.

Mikko Hypponen, lead researcher at the Finnish computer security firm F-Secure, reported in his blog that a scientist working at the Atomic Energy Organisation of Iran (AEOI) sent him an e-mail about his systems getting hit by a cyber-attack.

Lee would have loved this. You can read a quick post he did back in the old days about Marines blasting “Hell’s Bells” into militant-controlled areas, which includes a great Lee line.

Iranian nukes and politics

“Unexpectedly” – man that word sure as hell seems to be abused by the LSM since Obama won the WH – we are told by the IAEA that The Iranians will soon have a nuke thanks to help from ex-Soviet scientists right as everyone is talking about Israel doing the world’s dirty work for it, yet again, I should add. It seems Iran has solved whatever issue was holding them back and will soon have nukes. Of course, back in 2007, when people realized that nothing short of a military option was going to stop the apocalyptic fucking freaks in Teheran that want that bomb, the same IAEA put out a report telling us all Iran had completely stopped trying to build one.

At the time most of us that knew better said that that asshole El Baradei was playing a dangerous political game – this report came out to help the democrats prevent President Bush from doing something about this problem, other than tell us how cool the Iranian thugocracy is and that we could talk them off the ledge like Obama has been – by obviously lying about what Iran was doing explicitly to prevent any action by the US military. And while that asshole is still at it, it is now obvious that the IAEA can no longer deny that Iran, not only has rebuffed the “come hither” advances from Community-Organizer-in-Chief, but has been working hard enough at its bomb project such that Iran now will soon have a bomb. That is, again, unless Israel does the dirty work of stopping that. It now looks to me that the pacifists and collectivists won this battle, and Iran will now go nuclear. Joy.