The price of anything is the amount of life you exchange for it - Henry David Thoreau
God, I hate stories like this:
American homeowners will collectively lose more than $2 trillion in home value by the end of 2008, according to a report released Monday.
The real estate Web site Zillow.com calculated that home values have dropped 8.4% year-over-year during the first three quarters of 2008, compared with the same period of 2007.
Some 11.7 million Americans are now “underwater,” owing more on their mortgage balances than their homes are worth.
Zillow collects home values and analyzes home price trends in 163 markets; all but 30 registered price drops over the nine months ended Sept. 30, compared with the same nine-month period of 2007.
“This year marked the acceleration of the market correction, and is likely to end with the eighth consecutive quarter of declines in home values,” said Stan Humphries, Zillow’s vice president of data and analytics. “Homeowners in most areas we cover are struggling with foreclosures pouring into the market, large amounts of negative equity and dropping home values.”
We heard a lot of this the last time the market crashed. It is absolute total complete garbage. It is being flogged by a real estate website for political reasons, hoping that such dire reports will prompt government to step in and create another housing bubble. It is inconceivable that a news site like CNN would make it their headline.
Why is it garbage? Two reasons. First, the obvious. No asset or investment has lost value until you sell it. If you hold on long enough, it will regain any value lost due to variation in the market.
But more importantly, houses were never worth what they were at that the top of the bubble. To make such a comparison is just plain stupid. Some of the value homes had—especially in hot markets—was completely illusory. This is a market correction. The people screaming about their houses losing their inflated value are no different than the Enron people screaming because their stock lost its mythical peak value (or me bitching about my Sun stock). It was never worth that much.
True, some people bought at the peak of the market and are hurting now. But if they hold on to those properties for long enough (and granted this might be decades), they’ll recover some, if not all, of their value.
If it bleeds, it leads, though. CNN is apparently incapable of any critical thinking these days.
Posted by
Hal_10000 on 12/15/08 at 09:36 AM (
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All the Major cable news outlets seem to have that problem these days, Hal.