I caught parts of last night’s Republican debate. Nothing I saw changed my ongoing impressions: I like Rubio, I like some of what Paul’s saying, Christie remains tenacious, Bush is dead, Fiorinia has yet to move beyond her memorized talking points. But it also reinforced my other impression: that we are witnessing the early stages of an electoral trainwreck.
2016 is very winnable for the Republicans. Clinton, despite her pedigree, is an extremely weak candidate. Handed an easy Senate seat in 2000, she made it into a challenge, winning by 12 points in a state Algore won by 30 and that only because Rick Lazio turned out to be a giant asshole. Handed an easy nomination in 2008, one which she led by 20-30 points at times, she blew it, losing to an unknown half-term Senator with a funny name. Handed an easy nomination in 2016, she’s struggled to put away an elderly half-cracked socialist from Vermont.
Clinton is beatable. But she’s not beatable if the GOP nominates a fruitcake. And she’s not beatable if the GOP, in an effort to outcrazy the fruitcake, endorses such idiotic policies as shooting down Russian planes over Syria or carpet-bombing parts of Iraq and Syria.
I don’t know. I tend to be pessimistic about the GOP. But this is not looking good.