A Quick Thought on the Bergdahl Deal

Events are moving quickly on the Bergdahl deal. Congress is going to have hearings about whether Obama broke the law (when even noted liberal hack Jeffrey Toobin says that Obama “clearly broke the law”, I would say that Obama probably broke the law). The army is now going to investigate his disappearance. Homecoming parades have been cancelled. And the Obama people are, once again, bumfuzzled that not everyone is baking is their gloriousness.

But I wanted to peel off a question here. When discussing this case with my father-in-law today, he was puzzled that Obama would make this deal since he thought it would encourage more abductions. I said that the Obama people saw this as a straight-forward POW exchange. And then it hit me. This deal isn’t about Bergdahl. It isn’t about leaving no man behind. It isn’t about the Gitmo 5. And it’s not about distracting from the VA scandal (the lapdog media will take care of that).

This deal is about legitimizing the Taliban.

OK, that’s a bit harsh. It’s more accurate to say that this about setting the stage for post-war Afghanistan. Karzai is a lame duck and will soon be replaced. His successor may not last long after we leave. Either the Taliban will take over or they will be part of a power-sharing agreement. The United States has been negotiating directly with the Taliban for a while, trying to bring more moderate elements to the fore (the Taliban is not a monolithic organization, but is a coalition of powers ranging from somewhat moderate to absurdly extreme).

I think this is aimed directly at building a relationship with the Taliban. It is not a coincidence that this happened just after we announced the timetable for leaving Afghanistan. The Obama Administration has seen the writing on the wall — the Taliban will rule Afghanistan again. And they’re trying to establish a relationship with Afghanistan’s future government.

Whether that’s a good or a bad thing only history will tell. I don’t think we have much of a choice. We can’t stay and nation-build in Afghanistan forever. The only force that will rid Afghanistan of fundamentalism is the Afghan people deciding they don’t want it anymore. Our main priority has to be making sure that terrorist organizations are not allowed to flourish in postwar Afghanistan.

Will this prisoner swap with the Taliban help? I’m very dubious. But I think that’s what’s going on here.

  1. Matt Drudge’s main headline today is that there will be a push to impeach…if he does it again. WTF? If it was wrong, why wait for him to do it again? “Oh, that shit sandwich sucked. I might do something if you make me bite it again.” The only thing worse than Obama doing whatever he wants is everyone else letting him.

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  2. In Obama/Jarrett’s mind the Taliban have been legitimate since day one – they have the same goals, language, religion, etc….

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  3. The army is now going to investigate his disappearance.

    Just now? So we let some terrorists go, have some fellow soldiers die looking for this guy, and they’re just now investigating these claims that Bergdahl may have created the whole mess to begin with? This investigation should have been done from the get go to help shape strategy on how to get him back and what to actually risk in doing so. I’m sick of hearing from this fucking government over and over about how they need to monitor every shit we take so they can be prepared, but it never fails that when fuck ups like this occur no one in charge had any idea even though everyone not in charge that was around it seemed to know.

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  4. Pingback: Did they really think this through? » Right Thinking

  5. The army is now going to investigate his disappearance.

    Just now?

    I wouldn’t be surprised that they have been told to investigate and find that he is not a deserter or collaborator, or else…. This administration has a history of this sort of stuff. A quote I heard recently rings tru: The Obama administration is what Nixon fantasized, in his wildest dreams, ob doing.

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  6. When discussing this case with my father-in-law today, he was puzzled that Obama would make this deal since he thought it would encourage more abductions. I said that the Obama people saw this as a straight-forward POW exchange. And then it hit me. This deal isn’t about Bergdahl. It isn’t about leaving no man behind. It isn’t about the Gitmo 5. And it’s not about distracting from the VA scandal (the lapdog media will take care of that).
    This deal is about legitimizing the Taliban.

    First of all, why would Obama give two shits about more abductions? I don’t think his brain thinks that far ahead, and if more abductions would result in him emptying out Gitmo faster, bargaining for their release, he would look at that as a good thing. Does anyone doubt for a second that in his mind one of his biggest failures so far is not closing Gitmo? Why was he so anxious to reflexively dismiss the objections of his top intel people, telling him this was a bad idea, even nixing all attempts at ransoming back Bergdahl? By giving up the worst of the worst, the next step (the really bad guys are gone, what’s left are just foot soldiers, why keep it open now?) is much easier. The problem is that every Gitmo prisoner gets a yearly review, a parole hearing basically, where a risk analysis is done. If you are still at Gitmo, it is because you belong there.

    And I don’t think this has anything to do with the Taliban. Funny how such a short time ago the terrorists were on the run, now he is willing to hand over Afghanistan to them. You think the average Afghan civilian is thrilled about this deal? Mohammad Fazl is a war criminal with the blood of thousands of Afghan civilians on his hands. Khirullah Khairkhwa was a trusted adviser to OBL, maybe 9/11 was even his idea. All five are hardened killers, not peace advocates or governmental functionaries, killers.

    Obama cares as much about Afghans as he does about anyone else in the world, it is all about him, his legacy and the dissemination of his world vision.

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