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Oh Shiz.. Another default nightmare?

Get ready for a llot more news like this one as the real Chinese economy gets to finally come out and play:

On Friday, Chinese state media reported that China Credit Trust Co. warned investors that they may not be repaid when one of its wealth management products matures on January 31, the first day of the Year of the Horse.

The Industrial and Commercial Bank of China sold the China Credit Trust product to its customers in inland Shanxi province. This bank, the world’s largest by assets, on Thursday suggested it will not compensate investors, stating in a phone interview with Reuters that “a situation completely does not exist in which ICBC will assume the main responsibility.”

There should be no mystery why this investment, known as “2010 China Credit-Credit Equals Gold #1 Collective Trust Product,” is on the verge of default. China Credit Trust loaned the proceeds from sales of the 3.03 billion-yuan ($496.2 million) product to unlisted Shanxi Zhenfu Energy Group, a coal miner. The coal company probably is paying something like 12% for the money because Credit Equals Gold promised a 10% annual return to investors—more than three times current bank deposit rates—and China Credit Trust undoubtedly took a hefty cut of the interest.

Zhenfu was undoubtedly desperate for money. One of its vice chairmen was arrested in May 2012 for taking deposits without a banking license, undoubtedly trying to raise funds through unconventional channels. In any event, the company was permitted to borrow long after it should have been stopped—reports indicate that it had accumulated 5.9 billion yuan in obligations. Zhenfu, according to one Chinese newspaper account, has already been declared bankrupt with assets of less than 500 million yuan.

The Credit Equals Gold product is not the first troubled WMP, as these investments are known, to risk nonpayment, but Chinese officials have always managed to make investors whole. CITIC Trust did that in 2013 on a steel-loan product in Hubei province, and a mysterious third-party guarantee rescued a Hua Xia Bank WMP. An investment marketed by ICBC’s Suzhou branch was similarly repaid.

Maybe Zhenfu was another victim of Obama’s anti-coal agenda. Who knows? Anyway, the big problem here, as I am hearing from people in the know, is the fact that this is going to start happening a lot because even the Chinese government can’t provide cover for these bad investements anymore, and it is going to have world wide implications. Crony capitalism sucks and fails everywhere, I guess.

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  1. Seattle Outcast says:

    There have been warning calls for over a decade that China’s economy is a complete house of cards just waiting for a stray breeze to come along. Add in the fact that China’s rich have been leaving the country as fast as possible, and taking their money with them – it’s not going to be pretty.

    On the plus side, perhaps they’ll have a real economic revolution when the dust settles and the firing squads are over with. I mean, it’s China, scapegoats will be found and executed.

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