Are We At War?

Sure seems like it:

Following a (perhaps not-so-mysterious) explosion on a military base last month that took with it the life of Gen. Hassan Tehrani Moghaddam–one of the Iranian missile program’s most distinguished OGs–comes news of a second explosion in Isfahan this past Monday, which according to sources “struck the uranium enrichment facility there, despite denials by Tehran.”

Two explosions might just be the result of combining nuclear weapons with idiocy. But when you add in the Stuxnet attack, the mysterious deaths of several Iranian nuclear physicists … well, it certainly seems like someone is up to something. Whether that someone is Israeli or American or both is a very good question.

This is kind of the way I’d prefer to deal with Iran’s nuclear program. Negotiation is not going to work: no Iranian government will tolerate being a non-nuclear power while India, Pakistan, Israel, Russia and the US have arsenals. Sanctions help, especially now that Russia is on board. But you can’t really stop science; all you can do is slow it down. And a military attack would massively improve the Iranian government’s support from their own people and have only a modest effect.

A cold war is the way to go. Killing scientists might go too far, but sabotage is perfectly fine. It buys time for the regime to fall. And they are getting nervous, as their little attack on the UK embassy demonstrates.

Comments are closed.

  1. balthazar

    More likely that the Israelis got sick and tired of waiting for our approval to do something about it and took the initiative.

    So I vote Mossad.

    Thumb up 0

  2. AlexInCT

    Two explosions might just be the result of combining nuclear weapons with idiocy. But when you add in the Stuxnet attack, the mysterious deaths of several Iranian nuclear physicists … well, it certainly seems like someone is up to something. Whether that someone is Israeli or American or both is a very good question.

    Three of the most intriguing options I have heard do not involve either. The first is Iranian dissidents within the military that fear nuclear weapons in the hands of the madmen might spell their country’s doom. The other, and granted this one is a stretch, was the Iranian regime itself. They are doing it because their program is in shambles, be it because of the inflicted problems or simply because Iran has a history of claiming they can do things they can not, and by blowing up these facilities they avoid having to say they failed while blaming the usual suspects. It’s the tried & true shift the blame approach. The final rumor was that this was all diversionary tactics. By blowing up facilities they don’t need they can pretend their program is behind schedule, and throw off the world’s intelligence communities – especially the Israelis – long enough to actually make a bomb. I doubt this last one. These tools are too stupid to pull anything like that off. They might fool westerners that are pining for this problem to go away by itself, but not the Israelis.

    Thumb up 0

  3. Mississippi Yankee

    These tools are too stupid to pull anything like that off. They might fool westerners that are pining for this problem to go away by itself, but not the Israelis.

    Alex,
    Underestimating an arab is one thing. Underestimating a Persian, throughout history, has often ended badly. IMHO

    Thumb up 0